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Analyst estimates
Based on the present analyst appraisals (see source information), we have identified the median. The median is the value in the middle of a row of data which are ordered by size. Contrary to the arithmetic mean, also called average, changes in individual data barely have any effect on the median.
Median
Median (as at 28 December 2009)
Median |
2009 | 2010 | 2011 |
Revenues from continued operations (€m) 1) |
47,239 | 48,716 | 50,199 |
| 13,720 | 13,423 | 13,173 | |
EXPRESS |
10,354 | 10,672 | 11,311 |
GLOBAL FORWARDING, FREIGHT |
10,860 | 11,909 | 12,244 |
SUPPLY CHAIN |
12,507 | 12,992 | 13,659 |
Corporate Center/Other |
–1,227 | –1,287 | –1,341 |
Underlying EBIT from continued operations (€m) 1) |
1,457 | 1,895 | 2,081 |
| 1,300 | 1,197 | 1,112 | |
EXPRESS |
210 | 535 | 704 |
GLOBAL FORWARDING, FREIGHT |
282 | 322 | 380 |
SUPPLY CHAIN |
–37 | 217 | 255 |
Corporate Center/Other |
–302 | –300 | –309 |
Margin (%) |
3.1 | 3.9 | 4.1 |
| 9.5 | 8.9 | 8.4 | |
EXPRESS |
2.0 | 5.0 | 6.2 |
GLOBAL FORWARDING, FREIGHT |
2.6 | 2.7 | 3.1 |
SUPPLY CHAIN |
–0.3 | 1.7 | 1.9 |
EPS reported continued operations (€) |
0.82 | 1.01 | 1.22 |
Net Profit reported (€m) |
982 | 1,217 | 1,480 |
- 1)
- Estimates are based on the median. Therefore, figures do not add up.
Analysts estimates
Analysts estimates (as at 18 December 2009)
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
||||
| Min | Max | Min | Max | Min | Max | |
Revenues (€m) |
45,459 | 55,833 | 46,154 | 57,135 | 47,737 | 59,029 |
| 13,398 | 15,999 | 12,901 | 15,907 | 12,645 | 15,798 | |
EXPRESS |
9,967 | 10,719 | 9,871 | 11,341 | 10,519 | 11,341 |
GLOBAL FORWARDING, FREIGHT |
10,532 | 13,470 | 10,738 | 14,817 | 10,967 | 16,002 |
SUPPLY CHAIN |
12,390 | 13,718 | 12,069 | 13,992 | 11,741 | 14,658 |
Corporate Center/Other |
–2,824 | 783 | –2,935 | 800 | –3,083 | 823 |
EBIT (€m) |
1,350 | 1,611 | 1,728 | 2,220 | 1,747 | 2,402 |
| 1,241 | 1,399 | 1,021 | 1,315 | 865 | 1,303 | |
EXPRESS |
115 | 283 | 275 | 725 | 337 | 1,000 |
GLOBAL FORWARDING, FREIGHT |
223 | 299 | 247 | 372 | 239 | 462 |
SUPPLY CHAIN |
–135 | 200 | 130 | 260 | 123 | 376 |
Corporate Center/Other |
–380 | –282 | –375 | –256 | –365 | –250 |
Margin (%) |
3.0 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 4.1 |
| 9.3 | 8.7 | 7.9 | 8.3 | 6.8 | 8.2 | |
EXPRESS |
1.2 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 6.4 | 3.2 | 8.8 |
GLOBAL FORWARDING, FREIGHT |
2.1 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 2.9 |
SUPPLY CHAIN |
–1.1 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 2.6 |
|
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EPS (€) |
0.23 | 1.12 | 0.85 | 1.18 | 0.87 | 1.52 |
Net Profit (€m) |
211 | 1,352 | 1,031 | 1,425 | 1,058 | 1,836 |
Sources: BHF, Chevreux, Citigroup, Commerzbank, Deutsche Bank, Equinet, Exane Paribas, HSBC, LBBW, Macquarie, Main First, Merrill Lynch, Nomura, Sal Oppenheim, UBS, UniCredit
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